Historical Patterns Suggest Bitcoin’s September Lows May Already Be Behind Us

12.09.2025

Historical Patterns Suggest Bitcoin’s September Lows May Already Be Behind Us

A deeper-look analysis published September 12 points to a pattern: Bitcoin might have already hit its low for September. Using historical trends going back to July 2024, analysts noticed that monthly bottoms are often formed in the first 10 days of the month. 

  • Bitcoin's low for early September is estimated at around $107,000, with current prices above that level, suggesting that the market could be in the early stage of recovery. 

  • Historically, Q4 is Bitcoin’s strongest quarter, often delivering large gains. If the pattern holds in 2025, there may be upside momentum coming. 

  • Other indicators also support the idea of a bottom being in place: technicals (support levels, historical patterns) suggest limited downside from here, if the macro winds (interest rate expectations, inflation) behave as some anticipate.

Why It Matters

  • For traders and investors, knowing whether the low is past or ahead is critical — it changes risk/reward calculations dramatically. Buying becomes more “safe” if downside is limited.

  • If Q4 really follows history, then now may be the time to position for growth rather than wait on the sidelines.

  • But if macro forces shift (inflation, rate announcements), patterns can break. So this isn’t certainty — more like a favorable bet.

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